Ex-Ante Actions and Ex-Post Public Responses to Drought Shocks: Evidence and Simulations from Zimbabwe

نویسندگان

  • TRUDY OWENS
  • JOHN HODDINOTT
چکیده

— The study examines the consequences of alternative public responses to drought shocks. It does so by drawing on household data from resettlement areas of rural Zimbabwe from 1992–93 to 1995–96 and the estimation of four behavioral relations: the determinants of crop income; the determinants of investment in livestock; the determinants of investment in agricultural capital stock; and the determinants of private transfers. This information is used to construct a series of simulations in which drought relief received in the aftermath of the 1994–95––the ex-post response––is made available to households in the form of agricultural capital stock and extension advice––an ex-ante action. Doing so is found to raise household welfare in nondrought years, but provides only limited protection in the aftermath of drought. 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Ex ante actions and ex post public responses to drought shocks :

The study examines the consequences of alternative public responses to drought shocks. It does so by drawing on household data from resettlement areas of rural Zimbabwe over the period 1992/93 to 1995/96 and the estimation of four behavioural relations: the determinants of crop income; the determinants of investment in livestock; the determinants of investment in agricultural capital stock; and...

متن کامل

Adult Health in the Time of Drought

This paper examines the impact of rainfall shocks on a measure of adult health, body mass, drawing on a unique panel data set of households residing in rural Zimbabwe. Controlling for individual, household, and community factors, and individual fixed, unobservable effects, we find women, but not men, are adversely affected by drought. However, these effects are not borne equally by all women. W...

متن کامل

An ex ante control chart for project monitoring using earned duration management observations

In the past few years, there has been an increasing interest in developing project control systems. The primary purpose of such systems is to indicate whether the actual performance is consistent with the baseline and to produce a signal in the case of non-compliance. Recently, researchers have shown an increased interest in monitoring project’s performance indicators, by plotting them on the S...

متن کامل

Child growth in the time of drought

It is well known that households in developing countries often experience weather-related and other shocks that drastically affect incomes. A large and growing literature explores the ef®cacy of ex ante and ex post responses to these events. One strand examines how households respond to these shocks. Three studies that exemplify work in this area are Udry (1990) on credit as insurance, Fafchamp...

متن کامل

Growth and Risk

There has been a revival of interest in the e¤ect of risk on economic growth. We quantify both ex ante and ex post e¤ects of risk using a stochastic version of the Ramsey model. We develop a simulation-based econometric methodology which allows us to estimate the model in the structural form suggested by theory. The methodology is applied to micro data from a remarkable long-running panel data ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003